The Future of the Taliban Regime: Stability or Collapse?

Since taking power, the Taliban have imposed strict rules, banned women from education and work, and pushed millions of Afghans to flee or resist. Unemployment and poverty have soared, and no country has recognized their rule. While unknown aircraft continue targeting Al-Qaeda and Daesh fighters, many wonder: Will the Taliban survive?

A Regime Built to Last?

The Taliban are strategically securing their rule by expanding religious schools, aiming to raise future generations of loyal fighters. With over 6,000 religious schools and plans for 34 major institutions, they are ensuring long-term control. Unlike past resistance forces, today’s anti-Taliban groups lack numbers, resources, and international support, making an overthrow unlikely in the near future.

Security Threats & Challenges

Despite their grip on power, the Taliban face threats from Daesh, which has carried out multiple deadly attacks, and growing resistance movements. However, global priorities like the war in Ukraine and climate crises have shifted the West’s focus away from Afghanistan, leaving the Taliban to govern largely unchallenged.